Starting Up Again

[sniko]

Hahaha, fair point I guess I could say because you could either win or lose, 50/50. ;)

Just because there are 2 outcomes, does not mean the odds of getting one of the two outcomes is 50/50. Seker is correct, by the way.

For example, I could adapt what you said, and say everything is 50/50 because it could be outcome A, or outcome B. Imagine it's raining, you're outside, and you say "What's the chance/probability of a single raindrop not landing on me?" I could say (using what you've said) "It's 50/50, because it could happen, or it could not happen.", which is incorrect as you're only taking into account the two outcomes, and not factoring in the variable(s) that dictate an outcome.

Let's take the script in question into an interrogation. 200 numbers in the pool, I guess 1, which brings - for arguments sake, my guessed number is correct - the number of incorrect numbers in the pool to 199 (I guessed 1, 200-1 = 199). Now, even though I was correct in my guess, the odds themselves were not 50/50, but more 1/199 - 199 incorrect numbers, 1 correct.

I hope that helps you understand it a little better.

Edited December 11, 2013 by sniko

[Script47]

nicely done

Thanks a lot mate. :)

 

Just because there are 2 outcomes, does not mean the odds of getting one of the two outcomes is 50/50. Seker is correct, by the way.

For example, I could adapt what you said, and say everything is 50/50 because it could be outcome A, or outcome B. Imagine it's raining, you're outside, and you say "What's the chance/probability of a single raindrop not landing on me?" I could say (using what you've said) "It's 50/50, because it could happen, or it could not happen.", which is incorrect as you're only taking into account the two outcomes, and not factoring in the variable(s) that dictate an outcome.

Let's take the script in question into an interrogation. 200 numbers in the pool, I guess 1, which brings - for arguments sake, my guessed number is correct - the number of incorrect numbers in the pool to 199 (I guessed 1, 200-1 = 199). Now, even though I was correct in my guess, the odds themselves were not 50/50, but more 1/199 - 199 incorrect numbers, 1 correct.

I hope that helps you understand it a little better.

Haha thanks Sniko, just saying I knew he was right I was joking.

Edited December 11, 2013 by Script47